Market
Who will lead the DOJ by the end of 2025?
2
Donald Trump•Kash Patel•FBI•Republican Party•Senate•John Thune•Patel•American•Jim Banks•Trump•Jason Miller•Pam Bondi•Department of Justice
Resolution / Starting Odds
Pam Bondi confirmed • 25%
Another Republican appointee • 25%
Current leadership remains • 25%
Other • 25%
Official announcements from the Department of Justice or credible news outlets
Story
Trump Nominates Kash Patel as FBI Director with Senate Support, Pam Bondi to Lead DOJ
Jan 5, 2025, 03:32 PM
President Donald Trump has nominated Kash Patel to serve as the new Director of the FBI, with the nomination drawing support from key figures within the Republican Party. Senate Majority Leader John Thune has expressed confidence that Patel will lead the FBI in a manner that prioritizes the protection of American citizens while maintaining accountability. Additionally, Senator Jim Banks has criticized the FBI for becoming overly bureaucratic and political, suggesting that Patel's appointment is part of a broader effort to reform the agency. Trump senior advisor Jason Miller has also voiced strong confidence in Patel's ability to bring about immediate change, alongside Pam Bondi, who is expected to take a leadership role at the Department of Justice.
View original story
Similar markets
Lisa Monaco • 25%
Vanita Gupta • 25%
Kristen Clarke • 25%
Other • 25%
Fitzpatrick continues with current team • 25%
Other • 25%
New leadership team announced • 25%
Temporary leadership changes • 25%
Another individual • 25%
Position vacant • 25%
Christopher Wray • 25%
Kash Patel • 25%
Sally Yates • 25%
Lisa Monaco • 25%
Vanita Gupta • 25%
Other • 25%
No Misconduct Found • 25%
Minor Misconduct Found • 25%
Significant Misconduct Found • 25%
Severe Misconduct Found • 25%
Mixed outcomes • 25%
Increased trust in DOJ • 25%
Decreased trust in DOJ • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Criminal Justice Reform • 25%
Other • 25%
Cybersecurity Measures • 25%
Immigration Enforcement • 25%
No confirmation by deadline • 25%
Position remains vacant • 25%
Pam Bondi • 25%
Another nominee • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Kash Patel • 25%
Position vacant • 25%
Christopher Wray • 25%
Another individual • 25%