Market
Who will emerge as the key opposition figure to DOGE by mid-2025?
2
Elon Musk•Vivek Ramaswamy•Department of Government Efficiency•DOGE•Musk•Mark Penn•Janet Yellen•Joni Ernst
Resolution / Starting Odds
Janet Yellen • 25%
A prominent Democrat • 25%
A prominent Republican • 25%
No clear opposition figure • 25%
Media reports and official statements identifying a prominent opposition figure
Story
Elon Musk and Vivek Ramaswamy's DOGE Revises Federal Budget Cut Goal to $1 Trillion
Jan 9, 2025, 03:26 PM
Elon Musk and Vivek Ramaswamy are spearheading the Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE), a proposed presidential advisory commission aiming to reduce federal spending by up to $2 trillion from the $6.8 trillion budget. Initially set with this ambitious target, Musk has acknowledged in an interview with Mark Penn that achieving $2 trillion in cuts would be a 'best-case outcome,' suggesting that reducing spending by $1 trillion would be 'an epic outcome.' Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen has expressed skepticism about DOGE's ability to solve the deficit problem through such significant cuts. The initiative has garnered attention from lawmakers, with Senator Joni Ernst emphasizing the importance of slashing government waste and declaring that 'DOGE is inevitable.'
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Independent Members • 25%
Democratic Party • 25%
None • 25%
Republican Party • 25%
House Speaker Mike Johnson • 25%
Vivek Ramaswamy • 25%
Elon Musk • 25%
Representative Marjorie Taylor Greene • 25%
Democratic Party • 25%
Media organizations • 25%
Republican Party • 25%
Public interest groups • 25%
Other • 25%
John Thune • 25%
Susan Collins • 25%
Mike Johnson • 25%
Other • 25%
Business executive • 25%
Tech industry leader • 25%
Political figure • 25%
Neither • 25%
Democrats • 25%
Republicans • 25%
Both equally • 25%
A business leader • 25%
No one else • 25%
Another known political figure • 25%
Vivek Ramaswamy • 25%
Neither Musk nor Ramaswamy • 25%
Both Musk and Ramaswamy • 25%
Elon Musk • 25%
Vivek Ramaswamy • 25%
No major support • 25%
Other prominent business leader • 25%
Vivek Ramaswamy • 25%
Donald Trump • 25%
Sheryl Sandberg • 25%
Peter Thiel • 25%
Other • 25%
Tim Cook • 25%
Vivek Ramaswamy steps down • 25%
Elon Musk steps down • 25%
No changes • 25%
Restructuring announced • 25%