Market
Who will control the Abd al-Kuri Island airstrip by December 31, 2025?
4
Resolution / Starting Odds
United Arab Emirates • 25%
Yemen • 25%
Houthi rebels • 25%
Other • 25%
Reports from verified news agencies or official government statements
Story
1.5-Mile Mysterious Airstrip Nears Completion on Abd al-Kuri Island Amid Houthi Attacks
Jan 17, 2025, 09:54 AM
A mysterious airstrip is nearing completion on Abd al-Kuri Island in Yemen, as revealed by satellite images analyzed by The Associated Press. This 1.5-mile runway, located near the Gulf of Aden, could serve as a strategic base for controlling vital shipping lanes that have been increasingly targeted by Houthi rebel attacks. The construction of the airstrip is believed to be linked to the United Arab Emirates, which may be seeking to establish a secluded landing zone for surveillance operations around Socotra Island. This development comes amid escalating tensions in a region already impacted by a prolonged conflict, raising concerns about potential implications for arms smuggling and regional security.
View original story
Similar markets
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Military operations • 25%
Surveillance and reconnaissance • 25%
Humanitarian aid • 25%
Other • 25%
Other • 25%
No significant impact • 25%
De-escalation • 25%
Escalation • 25%
Condemnation • 25%
No official response • 25%
Neutral stance • 25%
Support • 25%
Military operations • 25%
Humanitarian aid • 25%
Surveillance • 25%
Other • 25%
Condemnation • 25%
Support • 25%
Neutral • 25%
No official reaction • 25%
Controlled by Iraq • 25%
Other entity • 25%
Controlled by Syria • 25%
Controlled by militia • 25%
Controlled by Syrian government forces • 25%
Controlled by Iraqi forces • 25%
Other • 25%
Controlled by rebel forces • 25%