Market
Which preemptive pardons by Biden will face legal challenges by June 30, 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Fauci's pardon challenged • 25%
Cheney's pardon challenged • 25%
Schiff's pardon challenged • 25%
None challenged • 25%
Court filings or announcements of legal challenges in federal courts
Story
Biden Considers Preemptive Pardons for Fauci, Cheney, and Schiff Amid Trump Threat
Dec 4, 2024, 09:49 PM
The Biden administration is reportedly considering preemptive pardons for several high-profile figures, including former White House Chief Medical Advisor Anthony Fauci, former House Representative Liz Cheney, and Representative Adam Schiff, amid concerns they might be targeted by President-elect Donald Trump. The discussions within the White House reflect a deep concern for protecting these individuals from potential investigations or prosecutions. The consideration of such pardons is seen as an extraordinary step to shield these figures from legal actions that could be initiated by the incoming Trump administration. Biden aides are deeply concerned about the potential threat posed by Trump.
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Other outcome • 25%
No legal challenges • 25%
Filed and accepted • 25%
Filed and dismissed • 25%
State court challenge • 25%
Both federal and state challenges • 25%
Federal court challenge • 25%
No legal challenges • 25%
Procedural • 25%
Political bias • 25%
No challenges • 25%
Constitutionality • 25%
Unclear Outcome • 25%
No Legal Challenges • 25%
Significant Legal Challenges • 25%
Minor Legal Challenges • 25%
Both federal and state court challenges • 25%
No challenges • 25%
Federal court challenges • 25%
State court challenges • 25%