Market
Which party will be primarily blamed for any debt ceiling crisis by end of Jan 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Republican Party • 25%
Democratic Party • 25%
Both equally • 25%
Neither/Other • 25%
Public opinion polls from reputable sources like Gallup or Pew Research
Story
Trump Criticizes McCarthy's Debt Deal, Demands Congress Address Debt Ceiling Before Inauguration
Dec 29, 2024, 11:18 PM
President-elect Donald Trump has criticized former House Speaker Kevin McCarthy for his decision to extend the debt ceiling into Trump's upcoming administration, calling it "one of the dumbest political decisions made in years." Trump stated that "NOTHING was gained—it was Biden’s problem, not ours," emphasizing that the extension shifted the debt ceiling issue from Biden's term to his own. He suggested that this political misstep contributed to McCarthy losing the speakership. Trump has demanded that Congress address the debt ceiling before he takes office on January 20th, arguing that failing to do so could lead to severe financial consequences for the country. He also acknowledged that current House Speaker Mike Johnson appears to be doing a very good job and urged action to prevent the Democrats from causing a potential economic crisis.
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Both equally • 25%
No shutdown • 25%
Republicans • 25%
Democrats • 25%
No resolution by deadline • 25%
Democrats • 25%
Republicans • 25%
Bipartisan effort • 25%
Neither party • 25%
Both parties equally • 25%
Democratic Party • 25%
Republican Party • 25%
Both equally • 25%
Republicans • 25%
Democrats • 25%
Neither • 25%
Republicans support, Democrats oppose • 25%
Both support abolition • 25%
Both oppose abolition • 25%
Democrats support, Republicans oppose • 25%
Democrats • 25%
Republicans • 25%
Both Equally • 25%
Neither • 25%
Bipartisan Effort • 25%
Republican Party • 25%
Democratic Party • 25%
No Resolution by June 30, 2025 • 25%
Debt ceiling raised • 25%
Debt ceiling abolished • 25%
Debt ceiling unchanged • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
President Biden • 25%
Senate Majority Leader Schumer • 25%
House Republican leadership • 25%
Other • 25%
Extended to 2029 • 25%
Abolished • 25%
No change • 25%
Extended with a different date • 25%
Republican Party • 33%
Democratic Party • 33%
Bipartisan effort • 34%
Unchanged • 25%
Abolished • 25%
Suspended • 25%
Increased • 25%