Market
Which key provisions will be included in the final U.S. spending bill by March 14, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Disaster aid included • 25%
Farmers' aid included • 25%
Pay raise for Congress included • 25%
None of these included • 25%
Official legislative records and major news outlets
Story
Trump Says Johnson Will 'Easily Remain Speaker' in Next Congress If He Acts Tough on Spending Bill
Dec 19, 2024, 02:16 PM
President-elect Donald Trump has stated that House Speaker Mike Johnson will 'easily remain speaker' in the next Congress if he acts 'decisively and tough' on the current spending bill. Trump emphasized the need for Johnson to eliminate 'all of the traps being set by Democrats' within the legislation, warning that failure to do so could economically harm the country. This comes after a bipartisan deal to avoid a partial government shutdown was abandoned, following criticism from Trump and other conservative figures. The proposed spending bill, which was set to extend government funding until March 14, 2025, included over $100 billion in disaster aid, $10 billion for farmers, and a pay raise for members of Congress. Trump has suggested that any Republican supporting a bill that does not address the debt ceiling should face a primary challenge.
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Similar markets
Congress pay raise • 25%
Economic assistance for farmers • 25%
Disaster relief funding • 25%
None of these • 25%
Includes farmer support only • 25%
Includes none of the specified provisions • 25%
Includes military and disaster aid only • 25%
Includes all three provisions • 25%
Passes with significant amendments • 25%
Fails to pass • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Passes with all provisions intact • 25%
Passed without amendments • 25%
Withdrawn • 25%
Passed with amendments • 25%
Rejected • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Both pay raise and restrictions • 25%
Restrictions only • 25%
Pay raise only • 25%
Neither included • 25%
Major reforms included • 25%
Reforms removed during negotiations • 25%
Minor reforms included • 25%
No reforms included • 25%
No action • 25%
Amended • 25%
Passed • 25%
Rejected • 25%
Fails • 25%
Passes with pay raise • 25%
Passes without pay raise • 25%
Other amendments • 25%
Disaster and agricultural aid • 25%
Healthcare and social services • 25%
Debt ceiling • 25%
Defense spending • 25%