Market
Which crypto firm will be most affected by SEC policy changes by June 30, 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Coinbase • 25%
Binance • 25%
Kraken • 25%
Other • 25%
Official company statements or financial reports
Story
SEC to Overhaul Crypto Policies, May Freeze Enforcement Under Trump Next Week
Jan 15, 2025, 03:16 PM
The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) is set to undergo a significant overhaul of its cryptocurrency policies under the incoming administration of President-elect Donald Trump. According to Reuters, the SEC plans to review and potentially freeze or withdraw enforcement actions against crypto firms, particularly those not involving fraud allegations. This shift in policy is expected to begin as early as next week, following Trump's inauguration. The new SEC leadership, including Hester Peirce and Mark Uyeda, known for their crypto-friendly stances, will be instrumental in these changes. Paul Atkins, Trump's nominee for SEC chair, is anticipated to lead the agency in a direction more favorable to the crypto industry, potentially easing accounting rules that have deterred companies from holding crypto for clients.
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No action • 25%
Fines or settlements • 25%
Criminal charges • 25%
Other regulatory actions • 25%
Significant positive impact • 25%
Negative impact • 25%
No significant impact • 25%
Moderate positive impact • 25%
Joint leadership • 25%
No change • 25%
CFTC leads • 25%
SEC leads • 25%
Healthcare • 25%
Banking • 25%
Technology • 25%
Retail • 25%
Other • 25%
Ripple • 25%
Binance • 25%
Coinbase • 25%
Fine • 25%
Other • 25%
No action • 25%
Sanctions • 25%
Minor adjustments to existing policies • 25%
Full policy overhaul with new guidelines • 25%
Other • 25%
No significant changes • 25%
Withdraw lawsuits • 25%
Other • 25%
Freeze enforcement actions • 25%
Revoke SAB 121 • 25%
Increased collaboration with crypto companies • 25%
Shift to rulemaking • 25%
Continued regulation-by-enforcement • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Increased regulation • 25%
Moderately eased • 25%
Significantly eased • 25%
No change • 25%
Other • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Decreased regulations • 25%
Increased regulations • 25%
Stricter regulations • 25%
Tax exemption for crypto • 25%
Other • 25%
Introduction of a digital dollar • 25%