Market
Which court decides on Trump's birthright citizenship order by end of 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Supreme Court • 25%
9th Circuit Court of Appeals • 25%
Another Federal Court • 25%
No final decision by end of 2025 • 25%
Final court ruling and decision announcements
Story
Seattle Judge Blocks Trump's Order on Birthright Citizenship, Citing 14th Amendment
Jan 27, 2025, 06:25 PM
A federal judge in Seattle has temporarily blocked an executive order issued by President Donald Trump that sought to end birthright citizenship for children born to undocumented immigrants and some foreigners with temporary legal status in the U.S. The order, which was challenged by 22 states and various groups, aimed to reinterpret the 14th Amendment of the Constitution, which grants citizenship to anyone born in the U.S. and subject to its jurisdiction. The judge described the order as 'blatantly unconstitutional.' The decision comes amidst ongoing legal battles, with other lawsuits pending in different states. The executive order would have denied citizenship to children born to parents who are not U.S. citizens or lawful permanent residents, including those on student, work, or tourist visas.
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No ruling by April 21, 2025 • 25%
Supreme Court • 25%
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District Court • 25%
Modify the order • 25%
Block the order • 25%
Uphold the order • 25%
Dismiss the case • 25%
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Strike down the order • 25%
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No final decision by end of 2025 • 25%
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