Market
Which country will be blamed for the next drone threat at Moscow airports by December 31, 2025?
4
Russia•Moscow•Sheremetyevo•Domodedovo•Vnukovo•Kaluga•Federal Air Transport Authority•Rosaviatsia•Carpet
Resolution / Starting Odds
Ukraine • 25%
United States • 25%
Internal Russian Group • 25%
Other • 25%
Official announcements from Russian government or credible international intelligence reports
Story
Russia Closes Moscow and Kaluga Airports Amid Drone Threats, Over 150 Flights Canceled
Dec 26, 2024, 01:38 PM
Russia temporarily closed all four main Moscow airports—Sheremetyevo, Domodedovo, Vnukovo, and Zhukovsky—and the Kaluga airport, due to safety concerns amid threats of drone attacks. The Federal Air Transport Authority, Rosaviatsia, implemented the 'Carpet' plan and announced the closures. Over 150 flights were canceled as departures and arrivals were halted. The closures caused widespread disruption to air traffic in the region. Later, the airports resumed normal operations after the threat was removed, and temporary restrictions were lifted.
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Similar markets
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Another neighboring country • 25%
Non-state actors • 25%
Unknown • 25%
Ukraine • 25%
Internal Russian factions • 25%
Other • 25%
Ukraine • 25%
United States • 25%
Saint Petersburg • 25%
Kazan • 25%
Other • 25%
Moscow • 25%
Military installations • 25%
Industrial facilities • 25%
Residential buildings • 25%
Transportation hubs • 25%
China • 25%
Other • 25%
North Korea • 25%
Russia • 25%
Other • 25%
Ukraine • 25%
United States • 25%
Internal factions • 25%
Moscow • 25%
Another location in Chechnya • 25%
Other • 25%
St. Petersburg • 25%
Non-EU European countries • 25%
No official condemnation • 25%
NATO countries • 25%
EU countries • 25%
Other • 25%
Internal Russian actors • 25%
United States • 25%
Ukraine • 25%
False alarm • 25%
Technical malfunction • 25%
Other • 25%
Intentional threat • 25%