Market
Which countries will publicly support Daniel Duggan's extradition or trial by the end of 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
China • 25%
Australia • 25%
United States • 25%
Other • 25%
Official statements from foreign governments
Story
Australia Approves Extradition of Former US Marine Daniel Duggan Over Training of Chinese Pilots (2010-2012), Faces 65 Years
Dec 23, 2024, 08:27 AM
The Australian government has approved the extradition of Daniel Duggan, a former U.S. Marine Corps pilot, to the United States. Duggan is accused of illegally training Chinese military pilots between 2010 and 2012, specifically in techniques related to aircraft carrier operations. He was arrested in Australia in 2022 and has since renounced his U.S. citizenship after moving to China in 2013. U.S. authorities allege that Duggan was compensated tens of thousands of dollars for his training services. If convicted, he faces a potential prison sentence of up to 65 years.
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Similar markets
U.S. Support • 25%
Chinese Condemnation • 25%
Neutral • 25%
Other Reactions • 25%
Guilty • 25%
Not Guilty • 25%
Mistrial • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
United States • 25%
Both • 25%
Ireland • 25%
Neither • 25%
Only US and Russia • 25%
US, Russia, and China • 25%
US, Russia, and other countries • 25%
US, Russia, and EU • 25%
European Union • 25%
USA • 25%
Latin American countries • 25%
Other • 25%
Other Actions • 25%
Increased Pressure on US • 25%
Diplomatic Measures • 25%
No Change in Stance • 25%
Extradited to another country • 25%
Extradited to South Korea • 25%
Not extradited • 25%
Extradition proceedings ongoing • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Another country • 25%
No extradition pursued • 25%
United States • 25%
Ireland • 25%