Market
Which countries will impose new sanctions on Russia following an Oreshnik missile strike by January 31, 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
United States • 25%
European Union • 25%
United Kingdom • 25%
Other • 25%
Official government announcements and international news reports
Story
US Intelligence Warns Russia May Launch Lethal Experimental Oreshnik Missile at Ukraine
Dec 11, 2024, 03:19 PM
The United States has warned that Russia may launch another experimental hypersonic intermediate-range ballistic missile, known as the Oreshnik, against Ukraine in the coming days, according to U.S. intelligence assessments. The missile, considered lethal, carries a smaller payload than the Iskander system but has a longer range. Despite its capabilities, Washington does not view the Oreshnik as a game-changer in the ongoing conflict, but rather as an attempt to terrorize Ukraine. Russia previously deployed the Oreshnik in a strike on the city of Dnipro last month. The U.S. remains focused on providing Ukraine with the necessary air defenses to protect against Russian missiles and drones. Notably, airspace above Russia's Kapustin Yar Test Site Range is closed from December 7th to December 15th, potentially indicating preparations for another missile launch.
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Similar markets
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Finland only • 25%
EU countries • 25%
US and allies • 25%
No new sanctions • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Neither • 25%
Both US and EU • 25%
European Union • 25%
United States • 25%
Other • 25%
United States • 25%
European Union • 25%
China • 25%
European Union • 25%
Other • 25%
United States • 25%
United Kingdom • 25%
United Kingdom • 25%
European Union • 25%
United States • 25%
Other • 25%
United States • 25%
Canada • 25%
Other • 25%
United Kingdom • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
European Union • 25%
None of the above • 25%
United Kingdom • 25%
United States • 25%