Market
Which countries, if any, will agree to accept deported American citizens by end of 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Mexico • 25%
Canada • 25%
Other countries • 25%
No countries agree • 25%
Official agreements or diplomatic announcements
Story
Trump Seeks Approval to Deport American Citizens, Repeat Violent Offenders Abroad for Small Fee
Jan 27, 2025, 11:16 PM
President Donald Trump has announced his intention to seek approval to deport repeat violent offenders from the United States, including American citizens, to foreign countries. Speaking at a House Republican Conference dinner during a GOP retreat at his Doral, Florida golf resort, Trump proposed that these offenders could be maintained abroad for a 'very small fee,' contrasting this with the high costs of incarceration in U.S. jails, including those run by private prison companies. He emphasized his desire to remove such individuals from the country, likening the situation to the movie 'Con Air' but noting that the criminals in question are real and not actors. Trump's comments also touched on his administration's efforts to deport undocumented immigrants, suggesting a broader policy of expelling those he deems undesirable from the U.S.
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Similar markets
6 to 10 countries • 25%
More than 10 countries • 25%
None • 25%
1 to 5 countries • 25%
El Salvador • 25%
Honduras • 25%
Mexico • 25%
Guatemala • 25%
Remains the same • 34%
Increases • 33%
Decreases • 33%
No countries accept • 25%
Multiple countries including El Salvador • 25%
El Salvador and another country • 25%
El Salvador only • 25%
Other • 25%
Mexico • 25%
Guatemala • 25%
Honduras • 25%
Mexico • 25%
Other • 25%
Brazil • 25%
Canada • 25%
No countries • 25%
Multiple Caribbean countries • 25%
Bahamas and another Caribbean country • 25%
Only Bahamas • 25%
More than 195 countries • 25%
193 to 195 countries • 25%
190 to 192 countries • 25%
Less than 190 countries • 25%
Both Venezuela and El Salvador • 25%
Neither • 25%
El Salvador • 25%
Venezuela • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Other • 25%
Honduras • 25%
Guatemala • 25%
Mexico • 25%