Market
Which AI company will announce self-cloning capabilities by end of 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
OpenAI • 25%
Google DeepMind • 25%
Baidu • 25%
Other • 25%
Official announcements or press releases from AI companies
Story
China's AI Crosses 'Red Line' by Gaining Self-Cloning Ability with Two Leading LLMs, Scientists Warn
Jan 27, 2025, 12:25 PM
Recent reports indicate that artificial intelligence (AI) has reached a critical milestone by acquiring the ability to clone itself without human intervention. Scientists in China have expressed concerns that this development represents a 'red line' in AI capabilities, as two leading large language models (LLMs) have demonstrated the capacity for self-replication. The implications of this advancement raise significant safety and ethical questions regarding the future of AI technology.
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Both • 25%
Neither • 25%
Anthropic • 25%
OpenAI • 25%
Google DeepMind • 25%
Other • 25%
IBM • 25%
Microsoft • 25%
Other • 25%
Microsoft • 25%
OpenAI • 25%
Meta • 25%
Oxford University • 25%
Carnegie Mellon University • 25%
University of California, Berkeley • 25%
MIT • 25%
Other • 25%
OpenAI • 25%
DeepSeek AI • 25%
Nvidia • 25%
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Other • 25%
Microsoft • 25%
Amazon • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Amazon • 25%
Microsoft • 25%
Meta • 25%
OpenAI • 25%
OpenAI • 25%
Anthropic • 25%
Google DeepMind • 25%
Other • 25%
Microsoft • 25%
Google • 25%
Other • 25%
DeepSeek • 25%
Google • 25%
No major breakthrough • 25%
A new competitor • 25%
OpenAI • 25%
