Market
What will public opinion be on the 22nd Amendment change by mid-2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Majority support • 25%
Majority oppose • 25%
Evenly split • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Major national public opinion polls
Story
Rep. Andy Ogles Introduces House Resolution to Amend 22nd Amendment, Allowing Trump a Third Term
Jan 23, 2025, 11:12 PM
On January 23, 2025, Representative Andy Ogles (R-TN) introduced a House Joint Resolution to amend the 22nd Amendment, which would allow President Donald Trump to run for a third term. The proposed constitutional amendment would permit a person to be elected to the office of the President more than twice, altering the current two-term limit established in 1951. The initiative follows President Trump's recent inauguration for his second term and references his remarks in November where he jokingly suggested seeking a third term, saying, 'I suspect I won’t be running again, unless you do something.' The proposed language specifies that 'no person shall be elected to the office of the President more than three times, nor be elected to any additional term after being elected to two consecutive terms.' The proposal has sparked debate among lawmakers, with some expressing opposition to extending presidential term limits.
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Similar markets
Republican Party leadership • 25%
Non-partisan organizations • 25%
No major opposition • 25%
Democratic Party leadership • 25%
Insufficient Data • 25%
Majority Oppose • 25%
Majority Support • 25%
Evenly Split • 25%
Support • 25%
Unsure • 25%
Oppose • 25%
Neutral • 25%
Not Passed in Congress • 25%
Passed and Ratified • 25%
Passed but Not Ratified • 25%
Withdrawn • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Majority oppose • 25%
Majority support • 25%
Evenly split • 25%
Bipartisan Support • 25%
Republican Party • 25%
Democratic Party • 25%
No Support • 25%
Majority unsure • 25%
Evenly split • 25%
Majority believe guilty • 25%
Majority believe innocent • 25%
Indeterminate • 25%
Evenly split • 25%
Majority oppose • 25%
Majority support • 25%
Somewhat Support • 25%
Strongly Support • 25%
Strongly Oppose • 25%
Somewhat Oppose • 25%
Significantly more favorable • 25%
Slightly more favorable • 25%
Unchanged • 25%
Less favorable • 25%