Market
What will be the U.S. Justice Department's response to Trump's dismissal request by February 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Supports dismissal • 25%
Opposes dismissal • 25%
No official position • 25%
Other response • 25%
Official statements from the U.S. Justice Department
Story
Trump Cites Hunter Biden’s Pardon in Bid to Dismiss Hush Money Case
Dec 3, 2024, 09:48 PM
President-elect Donald Trump has requested a New York judge to dismiss the criminal case in which he was convicted in May of 34 felony counts related to hush money paid to adult film actress Stormy Daniels. Trump's attorneys argue that the case should be dismissed due to his victory in the November 5 US presidential election, citing that allowing the local prosecution to proceed would upset the balance of power in the republic. They also reference Hunter Biden’s pardon as a precedent for dismissing the case, claiming it threatens the functioning of the U.S. government.
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Other outcome • 25%
Conviction dismissed • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
Conviction upheld • 25%
Conviction Dismissed • 25%
Conviction Upheld • 25%
Case Remanded • 25%
Partial dismissal • 25%
Order fully implemented • 25%
Order blocked by courts • 25%
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Order rescinded • 25%
Conviction Dismissed • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
Case Postponed • 25%
Conviction Upheld • 25%
Conviction upheld • 25%
Conviction dismissed • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Partial dismissal • 25%
Petition denied • 33%
Petition granted • 33%
No decision before Jan 10 • 34%
Accept the decision • 25%
No further actions • 25%
Appeal to Supreme Court • 25%
Seek alternative legal actions • 25%
Cleared of wrongdoing • 25%
Found guilty of obstruction • 25%
Investigation ongoing • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
File appeal • 25%
Other action • 25%
Seek federal intervention • 25%
Request case dismissal • 25%
Criminal Justice Reform • 25%
Cybersecurity Measures • 25%
Immigration Enforcement • 25%
Other • 25%