Market
What will be the U.S. Commerce Department's decision on Chinese drones by end of 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Full Ban • 25%
Partial Restrictions • 25%
No Change • 25%
Other Measures • 25%
Official announcements from the U.S. Commerce Department or major news outlets
Story
U.S. Considers Ban on Chinese Drones Amid National Security Concerns; Pentagon Launches Counter-Drone Strategy
Jan 2, 2025, 12:21 PM
The U.S. Commerce Department is evaluating new regulations that could restrict or ban Chinese drones in response to national security concerns. Officials have expressed worries that these drones may enable espionage by China or Russia, particularly as China is a major manufacturer of drones sold in the U.S., including those from DJI. The Pentagon has also initiated a counter-drone strategy, reflecting an urgent need to address potential threats posed by foreign drone technology.
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No Ban • 25%
Full Ban • 25%
Other Measures • 25%
Partial Ban • 25%
No change • 25%
Postponed decision • 25%
Complete ban • 25%
Partial restrictions • 25%
Ban DJI drones • 25%
Ban Autel Robotics drones • 25%
Ban both DJI and Autel Robotics drones • 25%
No ban • 25%
Moderate risk found • 25%
No risk found • 25%
Minor risk found • 25%
Unacceptable risk found • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Diplomatic protest • 25%
Retaliatory trade measures • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Other response • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
