Market
What will be the status of Germany's Patriot deployment in Poland by March 31, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Fully Deployed • 33%
Partially Deployed • 33%
Not Deployed • 34%
Reports from German or Polish defense ministries or international news agencies
Story
Germany to Deploy Patriot Systems to Poland in January 2025 Amid $2.5 Billion Eastern Shield Project with 3,500 Barriers
Nov 30, 2024, 12:17 PM
Germany has offered to deploy Patriot air defense systems to Poland, set to begin in January 2025. This decision comes amid heightened tensions, as Russia has been testing missiles near Poland's borders. German Defense Minister Boris Pistorius stated that the deployment aims to protect a crucial logistics center in Poland that is vital for supplying materials to Ukraine. Concurrently, Poland is enhancing its border security through the 'Eastern Shield' initiative, which includes the installation of 3,500 concrete barriers along its border with Russia and plans to extend these fortifications to the border with Ukraine. Polish Prime Minister Donald Tusk emphasized that this expansion is part of a broader strategy to ensure safety along the eastern borders, with an allocated budget of $2.5 billion for the project.
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Yes • 50%
No • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Non-NATO countries • 25%
Only US • 25%
US and other NATO countries • 25%
No deployments • 25%
No involvement • 25%
Troop deployment • 25%
Logistical support • 25%
Financial contributions • 25%
Complete success with no incidents • 25%
Limited success with major incidents • 25%
Failure with multiple incidents • 25%
Partial success with minor incidents • 25%
