Market
What will be the stance of key political figures on the 22nd Amendment change by end of 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Majority support from GOP • 25%
Majority support from Democrats • 25%
Bipartisan support • 25%
Majority opposition • 25%
Public statements and media reports
Story
Rep. Andy Ogles Introduces House Resolution to Amend 22nd Amendment, Allowing Trump a Third Term
Jan 23, 2025, 11:12 PM
On January 23, 2025, Representative Andy Ogles (R-TN) introduced a House Joint Resolution to amend the 22nd Amendment, which would allow President Donald Trump to run for a third term. The proposed constitutional amendment would permit a person to be elected to the office of the President more than twice, altering the current two-term limit established in 1951. The initiative follows President Trump's recent inauguration for his second term and references his remarks in November where he jokingly suggested seeking a third term, saying, 'I suspect I won’t be running again, unless you do something.' The proposed language specifies that 'no person shall be elected to the office of the President more than three times, nor be elected to any additional term after being elected to two consecutive terms.' The proposal has sparked debate among lawmakers, with some expressing opposition to extending presidential term limits.
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Not Passed in Congress • 25%
Passed but Not Ratified • 25%
Passed and Ratified • 25%
Withdrawn • 25%
Bipartisan Support • 25%
Democratic Party • 25%
No Support • 25%
Republican Party • 25%
Democratic Party • 50%
Republican Party • 50%
Republican Party leadership • 25%
No major opposition • 25%
Non-partisan organizations • 25%
Democratic Party leadership • 25%
Fail • 33%
Not voted • 34%
Pass • 33%
Not voted • 34%
Pass • 33%
Fail • 33%
Opinions remain divided • 25%
No major opinions published • 25%
Majority support Bannon's interpretation • 25%
Majority oppose Bannon's interpretation • 25%