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What will be the public reaction to the Nancy Mace incident by January 31, 2025?
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Nancy Mace•South Carolina•James McIntyre•Illinois•Capitol Hill•Rayburn House Office Building•McIntyre•Mace•Capitol Police•Capitol•Donald Trump
Resolution / Starting Odds
Support for Mace increases • 25%
Support for Mace decreases • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Mixed reactions • 25%
Surveys, opinion polls, or media analysis reports
Story
Nancy Mace Assaulted by James McIntyre on Capitol Hill, Police Arrest Suspect
Dec 11, 2024, 05:38 PM
U.S. Representative Nancy Mace (R-South Carolina) was allegedly assaulted by James McIntyre, a 33-year-old man from Illinois, on Capitol Hill. The incident occurred around 6 pm on Tuesday in the Rayburn House Office Building. McIntyre, described as an LGBTQ+ activist, allegedly grabbed Mace's hand, tightened his grip, and shook her arm, leading to her wearing a brace. Capitol Police arrested McIntyre on suspicion of assaulting a government official. The assault reportedly stemmed from Mace's opposition to transgender policies, particularly regarding transgender individuals in women's spaces. While Mace described the incident as an assault, some witnesses have suggested the interaction might have been less aggressive than portrayed, with one account claiming it was an amicable greeting. Following the incident, Mace has been seen at the Capitol with her arm in a sling, and she has spoken with former President Donald Trump about the event.
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Similar markets
Public opinion remains divided • 25%
Majority believe McIntyre's account • 25%
Incident largely forgotten • 25%
Majority believe Mace's account • 25%
Opinion remains divided • 25%
Majority believe witnesses' account • 25%
Majority believe Mace's account • 25%
Other • 25%
Re-elected • 25%
Other political outcome • 25%
Defeated in election • 25%
Retires or resigns • 25%
Mace faces censure • 25%
Other • 25%
Mace loses re-election • 25%
Mace faces no repercussions • 25%
Democratic leaders • 25%
No significant support • 25%
Non-political figures • 25%
Republican leaders • 25%
Support for Sharpton • 25%
Criticism of Sharpton • 25%
Neutral stance • 25%
Mixed reactions • 25%
Decreased support • 25%
Increased support • 25%
Mixed reactions • 25%
No change • 25%
Increased support for Fuentes • 25%
Decreased support for Fuentes • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Other • 25%
Bipartisan support for investigation • 25%
Republicans largely support investigation • 25%
Democrats largely support investigation • 25%
No significant support for investigation • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Increase security measures • 25%
Introduce new legislation • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Other • 25%