Market
What will be the public opinion on Biden's potential 2028 candidacy by end of 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Favorable • 25%
Unfavorable • 25%
Neutral • 25%
No Opinion • 25%
Major polling organizations (e.g., Gallup, Pew Research)
Story
President Biden, 82, Says He Could Have Beaten Trump but Doubts Ability to Serve Another Term
Jan 8, 2025, 04:05 PM
President Joe Biden, 82, stated in an interview published Wednesday with USA Today that he believes he could have defeated Donald Trump in the 2024 presidential election if he had remained in the race, citing polling data. "It's presumptuous to say that, but I think yes," Biden said when asked if he could have won. However, he expressed uncertainty about his ability to serve another term due to his age, acknowledging concerns about his stamina. When asked if he had the vigor to serve until age 86, he responded, "I don't know. Who the hell knows? So far, so good." Biden admitted, "I wasn't looking to be president when I was 85 years old," reflecting on his decision not to seek re-election. The president's remarks come as he prepares to leave office, having endorsed Vice President Kamala Harris, who lost to Trump in the election.
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Mostly negative • 25%
Mostly positive • 25%
Unclear/Other • 25%
Mixed • 25%
Majority oppose • 25%
Insufficient data • 25%
Majority support • 25%
Opinions are evenly split • 25%
Strongly Oppose • 25%
Oppose • 25%
Strongly Support • 25%
Support • 25%
Mixed opinions • 25%
Majority support his decision not to run • 25%
Majority indifferent to his decision • 25%
Majority support his decision to run • 25%
Mixed • 25%
More positive • 25%
More negative • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Mixed • 25%
Unchanged • 25%
Improved • 25%
Deteriorated • 25%
Announces he will not run • 25%
No announcement by end of 2025 • 25%
Delegates decision to Democratic Party • 25%
Announces candidacy • 25%
Majority believe he is fit • 25%
Opinion is evenly split • 25%
No significant polling conducted • 25%
Majority believe he is unfit • 25%
Improved • 25%
Worsened • 25%
Unchanged • 25%
Mixed • 25%
Evenly split • 25%
No significant opinion • 25%
Majority oppose • 25%
Majority support • 25%
Indifferent • 25%
Mixed • 25%
Mostly Negative • 25%
Mostly Positive • 25%