Market
What will be the primary source of disinformation in the 2024 German elections?
2
Elon Musk•Twitter•Germany•Alternative for Germany•AfD•German•Alice Weidel•Musk•Russia•US•England•Italy•European
Resolution / Starting Odds
Russia • 25%
USA • 25%
Domestic sources • 25%
Other • 25%
Reports from German state security services or credible investigative journalism
Story
Elon Musk Declares 'Only the AfD Can Save Germany,' Endorses Far-Right Party Ahead of Elections
Dec 20, 2024, 10:54 AM
Elon Musk, the billionaire entrepreneur and owner of X (formerly Twitter), has publicly endorsed Germany's far-right Alternative for Germany (AfD) party ahead of the upcoming federal elections, declaring in German, 'Nur die AfD kann Deutschland retten' ('Only the AfD can save Germany'). The AfD, an anti-immigration party monitored by authorities for suspected extremism, is polling as high as 30% but remains ostracized by mainstream parties. AfD leader Alice Weidel welcomed Musk's support. Musk's endorsement has sparked outrage among German politicians and media, with some calling for sanctions against him and expressing concerns over his possible financial backing for the party. German state security services have warned of potential disinformation campaigns from Russia and the US affecting the elections. Musk's increasing involvement in politics, including support for right-wing parties in England and Italy, raises questions about his influence in European politics.
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Similar markets
Other • 25%
Instagram • 25%
Facebook • 25%
X (formerly Twitter) • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Both • 25%
United States • 25%
Russia • 25%
Neither • 25%
Instagram • 25%
X (formerly Twitter) • 25%
Facebook • 25%
Other • 25%
AI-generated content • 25%
Political leaders' statements • 25%
Other • 25%
User-generated content • 25%
Foreign policy/Russia • 25%
Immigration • 25%
Other • 25%
Economy • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Economic growth • 25%
Immigration policies • 25%
Tax relief and child benefits • 25%
Environmental policies • 25%
Environmental policy • 25%
Economy • 25%
Immigration • 25%
Other • 25%
CDU/CSU wins majority • 25%
AfD wins majority • 25%
Coalition government formed excluding AfD • 25%
Other outcome • 25%