Market
What will be the primary reason cited by the US for lifting the MK-84 bomb hold by February 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Change in US foreign policy • 25%
Improved security situation in Gaza • 25%
Pressure from Israel • 25%
Other reasons • 25%
Official statements or press releases from the US government
Story
Trump Lifts Biden-Era Hold, 1,800 MK-84 Bombs to Israel
Jan 25, 2025, 06:41 PM
The Trump administration has instructed the Pentagon to lift a hold imposed during President Biden's term on the supply of 2,000-pound MK-84 bombs to Israel. According to reports, 1,800 MK-84 bombs, which had been stored in the United States for over six months, are now set to be delivered to Israel by sea in the coming days. The hold had been imposed by the Biden administration in response to concerns about civilian casualties in Gaza. Israeli officials confirmed that they were notified of the decision on Friday, though the exact timing remains unclear. The White House has not yet commented on the matter.
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Other • 25%
Contractual Obligation • 25%
Strategic Partnership • 25%
Political Pressure • 25%
Diplomatic pressure from Israel • 25%
Change in U.S. foreign policy • 25%
Other reasons • 25%
Regional security concerns • 25%
Evolving strategic threats • 25%
Enhancing deterrence capabilities • 25%
Other • 25%
Replacing aging arsenal • 25%
Risk of civilian casualties • 25%
Violation of international law • 25%
Other • 25%
Escalation of conflict • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Defense cooperation with Israel • 25%
Other • 25%
Change in U.S. foreign policy • 25%
Pressure from Israeli government • 25%
Middle Eastern countries • 25%
European countries • 25%
Asian countries • 25%
Other • 25%
Stored for future use • 25%
Military operations in other regions • 25%
Other • 25%
Military operations in Gaza • 25%
Other • 25%
Defensive operations • 25%
Offensive operations • 25%
Stored unused • 25%
Other impact • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Weakened relations • 25%
Strengthened relations • 25%