Market
What will be the political implications of Asma al-Assad's health situation by the end of 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
No significant change • 25%
Increased support for Bashar al-Assad • 25%
Decreased support for Bashar al-Assad • 25%
Other political shifts • 25%
Verified news reports and political analyses
Story
Asma al-Assad, wife of Bashar al-Assad, Isolated in Moscow Hospital with 50% Survival Chance Due to Leukemia
Dec 26, 2024, 06:18 AM
Asma al-Assad, the wife of deposed Syrian leader Bashar al-Assad, is reportedly gravely ill with leukemia and has been isolated in a Moscow hospital. Recent reports indicate that her chances of survival are assessed at 50%. Asma, who has previously battled cancer, is currently receiving treatment after a relapse of her illness. The situation has drawn attention, especially as there are claims regarding her desire to divorce Bashar al-Assad and return to London. However, the Kremlin has denied these rumors, stating that Asma is not seeking a divorce and is not planning to move. Asma's health condition has been described as serious, with various sources confirming her isolation to prevent infection due to her weakened immune state. The situation remains fluid as reports continue to emerge regarding her health and the political implications surrounding her family.
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Full recovery • 25%
Deceased • 25%
No improvement • 25%
Partial recovery • 25%
Deceased • 25%
Full recovery • 25%
Partial recovery • 25%
No significant improvement • 25%
Other • 25%
No statement • 25%
Negative prognosis • 25%
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Maintain influence • 25%
No political role • 25%
Imprisoned • 25%
Exiled • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Obtains citizenship from another country • 25%
Obtains Russian citizenship • 25%
Retains Syrian citizenship only • 25%
Regains UK citizenship • 25%
Russia • 25%
UK • 25%
Another European country • 25%
Middle Eastern country • 25%