Market
What will be the outcome of U.S. sanctions on Serbia's NIS by December 31, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Sanctions fully implemented • 25%
Sanctions partially implemented • 25%
Sanctions delayed • 25%
Sanctions lifted • 25%
Official statements from the U.S. government and Serbian government
Story
U.S. to Sanction Serbia's NIS Oil Company, 50% Owned by Gazprom Neft, Over Russian Ties
Dec 14, 2024, 07:40 AM
The United States is preparing to impose sanctions on Serbia's Petroleum Industry, known as NIS, in the coming days due to its significant Russian ownership. Serbian President Aleksandar Vučić announced that NIS is 50% owned by Gazprom Neft and 6.15% by Gazprom, which has prompted U.S. action. Vučić indicated he would seek discussions with American officials regarding the sanctions. The move reflects ongoing tensions in U.S.-Serbia relations, with calls for Serbia to diversify its geopolitical partnerships amidst these developments.
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Sanctions remain unchanged • 25%
Sanctions are lifted • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Sanctions are modified • 25%
Diversify energy sources • 25%
Strengthen ties with Russia • 25%
Seek closer ties with the EU • 25%
No significant change • 25%
PDVSA ceases operations • 25%
Sanctions lifted • 25%
Sanctions increased • 25%
Sanctions unchanged • 25%
Other • 25%
Increase sanctions • 25%
Ease sanctions • 25%
Maintain current sanctions • 25%
No change in ownership • 25%
Serbia buys stake • 25%
Russia retains stake • 25%
Stake sold to another entity • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Third party buys stake • 25%
Gazprom Neft retains stake • 25%
Serbia buys stake • 25%