Market
What will be the outcome of US-Canada talks on statehood proposal by end of 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Formal negotiations begin • 25%
Proposal rejected • 25%
No official stance • 25%
Proposal indefinitely postponed • 25%
Press releases or official statements from US and Canadian governments
Story
Trump Proposes Canada Become 51st State, Citing $100 Million Subsidy as 'Great Idea'
Dec 18, 2024, 12:00 PM
President-elect Donald Trump has suggested that Canada should become the 51st state of the United States, claiming that many Canadians support the idea and that it would save them money on taxes and military protection. In a post on his social media platform, Trump questioned why the U.S. subsidizes Canada "to the tune of over $100,000,000 a year," calling it nonsensical. He referred to Canada as "financially bankrupt" and labeled making it the 51st state a "great idea." During a recent meeting at his Mar-a-Lago estate, Trump referred to Prime Minister Justin Trudeau as "Governor Justin Trudeau" and joked about Canada's potential statehood, emphasizing the financial benefits for both countries.
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Other development • 25%
No talks or proposal • 25%
Formal proposal made • 25%
Informal talks initiated • 25%
Mixed reactions • 25%
Majority support • 25%
No official stance • 25%
Majority oppose • 25%
Referendum not held • 25%
Majority Yes • 25%
Majority No • 25%
Too close to call • 25%
Informal discussions only • 25%
Formal talks initiated • 25%
Rejection by either Canada or Mexico • 25%
No discussions • 25%
No formal action taken • 25%
Canada becomes a U.S. state • 25%
Proposal formally rejected • 25%
Proposal under consideration • 25%
Supportive • 25%
No official stance • 25%
Neutral • 25%
Opposed • 25%
No official stance • 25%
Majority support • 25%
Majority oppose • 25%
Mixed responses • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Formal discussions initiated • 25%
Formal rejection by Canada • 25%
No official response • 25%
Majority oppose • 25%
Evenly split • 25%
No significant poll conducted • 25%
Majority support • 25%