Market
What will be the outcome of Trump's executive order on FEMA by the end of 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
FEMA abolished • 25%
FEMA restructured • 25%
No changes to FEMA • 25%
Order blocked or reversed • 25%
Official announcements from the White House or government press releases
Story
Trump to Sign Executive Order to Overhaul or Abolish FEMA, Calls Agency 'a Disaster'
Jan 24, 2025, 06:12 PM
President Donald Trump announced plans to sign an executive order to fundamentally reform or possibly eliminate the Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA). During his visit to hurricane-damaged North Carolina on January 24, 2025, Trump labeled FEMA as a "disaster," stating, "FEMA has turned out to be a disaster." He criticized the agency as "very bureaucratic" and "very slow," adding, "I think we're going to recommend that FEMA go away." Trump proposed that states should take care of disasters without relying heavily on federal assistance, suggesting that governors can handle emergencies more efficiently. He was visiting areas impacted by Hurricane Helene.
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Other • 25%
FEMA Abolished • 25%
FEMA Reformed • 25%
No Change • 25%
FEMA eliminated • 33%
FEMA overhauled • 33%
No change to FEMA • 34%
Adopted • 25%
Rejected • 25%
Modified and adopted • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Increased border security • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Increased legal immigration • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
FEMA to be closed • 25%
FEMA to continue with reforms • 25%
FEMA to be downsized • 25%
No significant changes • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Increased border security • 25%
Decreased illegal crossings • 25%
Legal challenges • 25%
Other • 25%