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What will be the outcome of the U.S. Treasury's investigation into the breach by June 30, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Attribution to Chinese hackers confirmed • 25%
Attribution to another nation-state actor • 25%
Internal security failure identified • 25%
No conclusive outcome • 25%
Official U.S. Treasury Department reports or news releases
Story
Chinese Hackers Breach U.S. Treasury, Access Over 3,000 Files Including Yellen's in Attack on 400 Computers
Jan 16, 2025, 12:42 AM
Chinese state-sponsored hackers breached a U.S. government office responsible for reviewing foreign investments for national security risks, according to multiple reports. The attack, attributed to the Chinese Communist Party (CCP), has raised alarms regarding vulnerabilities in U.S. cyber infrastructure. Lawmakers were informed that the hackers accessed thousands of files, including sensitive information from Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen. The breach reportedly involved over 400 computers and focused on staff involved in sanctions and intelligence operations. The U.S. Treasury Department is set to hold a classified briefing for lawmakers on the matter, as officials continue to assess the implications of this cyber intrusion.
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Attribution to non-state actor • 25%
Attribution to Chinese APT actor • 25%
Inconclusive • 25%
Attribution to another state actor • 25%
No security issues found • 25%
Minor security adjustments needed • 25%
Significant security flaws identified • 25%
Review inconclusive • 25%
Legal action against BeyondTrust • 25%
Sanctions against China • 25%
Diplomatic talks with China • 25%
Increased cybersecurity measures • 25%
Sanctions on Chinese entities • 25%
Increased cybersecurity funding • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Diplomatic protest to China • 25%
Department of Homeland Security • 25%
US Treasury • 25%
Other • 25%
FBI • 25%
Other • 25%
U.S. Treasury Department • 25%
BeyondTrust • 25%
FBI • 25%
Increased funding for cybersecurity • 25%
Other measures • 25%
No significant actions • 25%
New cybersecurity laws • 25%
Other • 25%
FBI • 25%
CISA • 25%
NSA • 25%
FBI • 25%
Department of Homeland Security • 25%
Other • 25%
NSA • 25%