Market
What will be the outcome of the Supreme Court case on Oklahoma's religious charter school funding by end of 2025?
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Oklahoma•Oklahoma Charter School Board•Drummond•Archdiocese of Oklahoma City•Diocese of Tulsa•Catholic faith•Oklahoma Supreme Court•First Amendment•Republican•Kevin Stitt•Gentner Drummond•Amy Coney Barrett
Resolution / Starting Odds
In favor of funding • 33%
Against funding • 33%
Dismissed on technical grounds • 34%
Official ruling published by the U.S. Supreme Court
Story
Supreme Court to Review Oklahoma's St. Isidore of Seville Catholic Virtual School Funding Case
Jan 24, 2025, 09:47 PM
The U.S. Supreme Court has agreed to hear a case concerning the establishment of the nation's first publicly funded religious charter school in Oklahoma. The case, Oklahoma Charter School Board v. Drummond, will determine whether states can fund religious charter schools, potentially reshaping the separation of church and state. The proposed St. Isidore of Seville Catholic Virtual School, backed by the Archdiocese of Oklahoma City and the Diocese of Tulsa, aims to serve students online while promoting the Catholic faith. The Oklahoma Supreme Court previously ruled that funding the school would violate both state and federal constitutions, citing the First Amendment's prohibition on government establishment of religion. The case has divided Oklahoma's Republican leadership, with Governor Kevin Stitt supporting the school and Attorney General Gentner Drummond opposing it. Justice Amy Coney Barrett is recused from the case, with no explanation provided for her recusal.
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Similar markets
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Dismiss the case • 25%
Remand to lower court • 25%
Against funding • 25%
In favor of funding • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Decrease in support • 25%
Polarized opinions • 25%
Increase in support • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Rule in favor of the school • 33%
Dismiss the case • 34%
Rule against the school • 33%
Increase in religious charter schools • 25%
No significant impact • 25%
Decrease in religious charter schools • 25%
Mixed impact • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Strengthen separation • 33%
No significant impact • 34%
Weaken separation • 33%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Ban upheld • 33%
Ban overturned • 33%
Partial ruling • 34%