Market
What will be the outcome of the LAPD's investigation into Hannah Kobayashi's disappearance by April 30, 2025?
2
Los Angeles•Maui•Hannah Kobayashi•New York City•Kobayashi•Los Angeles International Airport•LAX•Mexico•Tijuana•Jim McDonnell
Resolution / Starting Odds
Voluntary disappearance confirmed • 25%
Evidence of foul play • 25%
Case remains unresolved • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Official LAPD reports or press releases
Story
Missing Maui Woman, 30-Year-Old Hannah Kobayashi, Voluntarily Crossed into Mexico, LAPD Says; Family Disputes Finding
Dec 3, 2024, 03:05 AM
Los Angeles police announced that missing Maui resident, 30-year-old photographer Hannah Kobayashi, voluntarily crossed the U.S.-Mexico border after failing to board her connecting flight to New York City on November 8. Kobayashi was last seen at Los Angeles International Airport (LAX) on November 11, several days after missing her flight to visit her aunt. Surveillance footage shows her picking up her bags at LAX and later crossing into Mexico near Tijuana around November 12, walking alone with her luggage and appearing unharmed. LAPD Chief Jim McDonnell stated that there is no evidence of foul play or human trafficking and classified her as a "voluntary missing person." Kobayashi had expressed a desire to "step away from modern connectivity" and disconnect from her phone, according to the investigation. However, her family strongly disputes the police's conclusions, continues to search for her, and urges her to contact them.
View original story
Similar markets
Voluntary disappearance confirmed • 25%
Reclassified as involuntary • 25%
Case remains unresolved • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Foul play suspected • 25%
Voluntary disappearance confirmed • 25%
Kobayashi found safe • 25%
Case remains unsolved • 25%
Trial held • 25%
Case dismissed • 25%
Settlement reached • 25%
No legal action • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Personal reasons • 25%
Other • 25%
Mental health issues • 25%
Coercion or threat • 25%
Civil lawsuit • 25%
Other legal actions • 25%
No legal actions • 25%
Criminal charges • 25%
Personal reasons • 25%
Mental health issues • 25%
External coercion or threat • 25%
Other • 25%