Market
What will be the outcome of the January 17 hearing regarding Volume Two of Jack Smith's report?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Release Authorized • 25%
Release Denied • 25%
Hearing Postponed • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
Court ruling or official announcement
Story
Judge Cannon Denies Trump's Bid, Clears Release of Jack Smith's Election Report
Jan 13, 2025, 06:13 PM
A federal judge has authorized the release of special counsel Jack Smith's report on President-elect Donald Trump's alleged efforts to overturn the 2020 election. U.S. District Judge Aileen Cannon denied Trump's attempt to block the release, allowing the Justice Department to publicly release Volume One of the report, which covers the investigation into the former president's actions leading up to the January 6 Capitol attack and attempts to interfere with the 2020 election results. Volume Two, which addresses the classified documents case, remains under seal pending a hearing scheduled for January 17 in Fort Pierce, Florida. The report could be released as early as Tuesday, January 14.
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Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Release approved • 33%
Release denied • 33%
Decision postponed • 34%
Report release blocked • 25%
Hearing postponed • 25%
Partial release allowed • 25%
Report release allowed • 25%
Decision postponed • 25%
Partial release of Volume Two • 25%
Volume Two not released • 25%
Volume Two released • 25%
No new charges against Trump • 25%
Report has no significant impact • 25%
Report leads to policy changes • 25%
Trump faces new charges • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Other • 25%
New charges against Trump • 25%
Congressional investigation • 25%
Neither Volume Released • 1%
Both Volumes Simultaneously • 33%
Volume on Classified Documents • 33%
Volume on Election Interference • 33%