Market
What will be the outcome of the impeachment vote against President Yoon on December 16, 2024?
4
Resolution / Starting Odds
Impeachment Passed • 33%
Impeachment Failed • 33%
Vote Postponed • 34%
Official announcement from the National Assembly or major news outlets such as Yonhap News Agency.
Story
South Korea's President Yoon Faces Impeachment as Ruling Party Backs Vote Over Martial Law
Dec 13, 2024, 01:53 AM
South Korean President Yoon Suk Yeol faces an impeachment push from opposition parties after his short-lived declaration of martial law, which critics say had no constitutional grounds. Opposition leader Lee Jae-myung called for impeaching Yoon as the 'fastest way' to end the crisis. Clashes erupted between police and pro-impeachment protesters near Yoon's home following his refusal to resign. Yoon defended his actions as an act of governance and vowed to 'fight to the end'. His approval rating has fallen to its lowest level since taking office. The National Assembly is set to vote on the impeachment motion on Saturday, with the ruling party leader urging members to support the motion. Death threats have been reported against MPs over the impeachment vote. Authorities have seized the mobile phone of the former defense minister as part of an investigation into the martial law declaration.
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Impeachment fails • 33%
Impeachment passes • 33%
Vote postponed • 34%
Vote Delayed • 34%
Vote postponed • 25%
Vote canceled • 25%
Impeachment Passed • 33%
Other Outcome • 25%
Vote Postponed • 25%
Impeached • 25%
Not impeached • 25%
Impeachment Failed • 33%
Not Impeached • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
Vote Postponed • 25%
Impeached • 25%
Passes with 200+ votes • 25%
Passes with 180-199 votes • 25%
Fails with less than 150 votes • 25%
Fails with 150-179 votes • 25%
Vote Delayed • 34%
Not Impeached • 33%
Impeached • 33%
Impeached • 25%
Not Impeached • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
Vote Postponed • 25%
Impeached • 33%
Not Impeached • 33%
Vote Delayed • 34%
Impeached • 25%
Not Impeached • 25%
Vote Delayed • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
Not impeached • 33%
Impeached • 33%
Vote postponed • 33%
Not Impeached • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
Vote Delayed • 25%
Impeached • 25%
Vote Postponed • 25%
Impeachment Passed • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
Impeachment Failed • 25%
