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What will be the outcome of the Gaetz Ethics investigation by December 31, 2025?
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House Democrats•House Ethics Committee•Matt Gaetz•Congress•Gaetz•Sean Casten•Illinois•Steve Cohen•Ethics Committee•House Republicans•Republican•Tom McClintock•Democrats•House•Kevin McCarthy
Resolution / Starting Odds
Cleared of all allegations • 25%
Found guilty of misconduct • 25%
Report remains undisclosed • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Official findings or conclusions published by the House Ethics Committee
Story
House GOP Blocks Release of Gaetz Ethics Report in 206-198 Vote
Dec 5, 2024, 09:45 PM
House Democrats are pushing to force the release of the House Ethics Committee's report on former Representative Matt Gaetz, who resigned from Congress and withdrew his name from consideration as Attorney General. Gaetz is under investigation for allegations of sexual misconduct, illicit drug use, and other transgressions. Representatives Sean Casten of Illinois and Steve Cohen have introduced privileged resolutions to require the Ethics Committee to release its findings. The Ethics Committee met to discuss the matter but issued a statement saying it is "continuing to discuss the matter," without committing to releasing the report. On Thursday, House Republicans blocked the release twice, voting 206-198 and 204-198 to refer the matter back to the Ethics Committee. Only Republican Representative Tom McClintock joined Democrats in voting against tabling the resolutions. Former House Speaker Kevin McCarthy has stated that the report should be released.
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Formal censure • 25%
Referral to DOJ • 25%
Other • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Referral for Prosecution • 25%
Censure • 25%
No Action • 25%
Exoneration • 25%
No significant findings • 25%
Ethics violations but no legal action • 25%
Ethics violations leading to legal action • 25%
Other • 25%
Decision Delayed • 25%
Partial Release • 25%
Report Not Released • 25%
Report Released • 25%
Ruled in Committee's favor • 25%
Ruled in Gaetz's favor • 25%
Settled • 25%
Dismissed • 25%
Referral for criminal investigation • 25%
Recommendation for sanctions • 25%
No significant findings • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Charged and convicted • 25%
Not charged • 25%
Investigation ongoing • 25%
Charged and acquitted • 25%
Civil lawsuit filed • 25%
Criminal charges filed • 25%
No further action • 25%
Ethics Committee sanctions • 25%
Runs for Higher Office • 25%
Resignation • 25%
Retirement from Politics • 25%
Continues in Politics • 25%
Not Charged • 25%
Investigation Dropped • 25%
Charged and Convicted • 25%
Charged and Not Convicted • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Mostly positive • 25%
Mixed • 25%
Mostly negative • 25%
Report Not Released • 33%
Report Released • 33%
Vote Deferred • 34%