Market
What will be the outcome of the first major legislative proposal by the new French government in 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Passed • 25%
Rejected • 25%
Amended • 25%
Withdrawn • 25%
Official records from the French National Assembly or reports from major news outlets
Story
Macron to Appoint New PM Within Days After Barnier Government Falls; Vows to Serve Full Term
Dec 5, 2024, 07:21 PM
French President Emmanuel Macron has announced that he will remain in office until the end of his mandate in May 2027, affirming, "I will fully carry out my mandate as President until its end." He will appoint a new Prime Minister in the coming days following the collapse of the government led by outgoing Prime Minister Michel Barnier, whom Macron thanked for rising to the challenge during his tenure. The new Prime Minister will be tasked with forming a government of "national interest" representing all political forces willing to participate or at least not censor it. A special law will be submitted before mid-December to roll over the 2024 budget into 2025, ensuring the functioning of the state until a new budget is prepared. Macron emphasized that the priority for the new government will be passing the budget via a special law and initiating a new era with "new compromises."
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Passed with minor amendments • 25%
Rejected • 25%
Passed with majority support • 25%
Withdrawn before vote • 25%
Other initiative • 25%
Economic reform • 25%
Social policy reform • 25%
Environmental policy • 25%
Budget passed without major changes • 25%
Budget delayed • 25%
Budget rejected • 25%
Budget passed with major changes • 25%
Not proposed • 25%
Rejected • 25%
Approved with major changes • 25%
Approved without major changes • 25%
Economic Reform • 25%
Other • 25%
Environmental Policy • 25%
Social Policy • 25%
Another interim budget measure • 34%
New budget adopted • 33%
2024 budget extension continues • 33%
La France Insoumise initiates further legal action • 25%
Socialist Party calls for further protests • 25%
No significant action from any party • 25%
Ecologist group proposes alternative budget • 25%
Government makes significant concessions • 25%
Government survives without changes • 25%
Government faces a successful motion of censure • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Tax increases only • 25%
Spending cuts only • 25%
Neither • 25%
Both spending cuts and tax increases • 25%
Majority support (50-60% approval) • 25%
Little to no support (less than 30% approval) • 25%
Minority support (30-49% approval) • 25%
Broad support (over 60% approval) • 25%
Political stability • 25%
Economic reforms • 25%
Social policy changes • 25%
Environmental policies • 25%
