Market
What will be the outcome of the El Paso port of entry closure by December 31, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Reopen without conditions • 25%
Reopen with new conditions • 25%
Remain closed indefinitely • 25%
Partial reopening • 25%
Official announcements from U.S. Customs and Border Protection or government reports
Story
El Paso Border Closes Moments After Trump's Inauguration, 'Remain in Mexico' Policy Reinstated
Jan 20, 2025, 07:07 PM
Moments after President Donald Trump's inauguration on January 20, 2025, authorities shut down the port of entry in El Paso, Texas. The closure occurred around the time of the swearing-in ceremony as he declared a national emergency at the southern border. President Trump reinstated the 'Remain in Mexico' policy and ended the 'catch and release' practice. Law enforcement officers, some in riot gear, have secured the border crossing. The port of entry is temporarily closed, affecting individuals who had been waiting for months to cross.
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Similar markets
Struck down • 25%
Upheld • 25%
Other • 25%
Partially upheld • 25%
Construction resumes but does not complete • 25%
Other • 25%
Construction does not resume • 25%
Construction resumes and completes • 25%
Significant decrease • 25%
Data inconclusive • 25%
Significant increase • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Tunnel Dismantled • 25%
Successful prosecution • 25%
Ongoing investigation • 25%
Lack of evidence • 25%
Other • 25%
Investigation Inconclusive • 25%
New Security Measures Implemented • 25%
Arrests Made • 25%
Borders reopen earlier than planned • 25%
Borders reopen as planned • 25%
Borders remain closed beyond January 13 • 25%
Partial reopening with restrictions • 25%
Operation Ongoing • 25%
Major Arrests Made • 25%
Tunnel Closed and Secured • 25%
Other • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Increased legal immigration • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Increased border security • 25%
Other • 25%
Increased border security • 25%
Decreased illegal crossings • 25%
Legal challenges • 25%
