Market
What will be the outcome of Swiss demands for an investigation into the death by end of 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Investigation agreed and conducted • 25%
Investigation agreed but not conducted • 25%
Investigation rejected • 25%
No official response • 25%
Official statements from the Iranian or Swiss government
Story
64-Year-Old Swiss National Dies in Semnan Prison After Alleged Suicide, Arrested for Espionage
Jan 22, 2025, 12:36 PM
A 64-year-old Swiss national, arrested in Iran on suspicion of espionage, died in a prison in Semnan, Iran, after allegedly taking his own life, according to Iran's judiciary spokesperson. The individual, who entered Iran as a tourist in October via the Dogharoun border with Afghanistan in a car equipped with various technical equipment, was detained for photographing military sites and collaborating with hostile states. The judiciary spokesperson, Asghar Jahangir, stated that the detainee used a piece of cloth to hang himself in an area not covered by security cameras. The Swiss government has demanded a full investigation into the circumstances of the man's death and detailed information on the reasons for his arrest. Iran's elite Revolutionary Guards have been involved in similar arrests in the past.
View original story
Similar markets
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Seek diplomatic resolution • 25%
Request independent investigation • 25%
Take no action • 25%
Issue formal protest • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Discussions ongoing • 25%
No official comment • 25%
Agreement reached • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Other • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Diplomatic protest • 25%
Legal action • 25%
Foul play suspected • 25%
Inconclusive • 25%
No investigation • 25%
Suicide confirmed • 25%
Switzerland issues a formal protest • 25%
Joint statement issued • 25%
No significant outcome • 25%
Iran provides additional evidence • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Request for investigation • 25%
Other • 25%
No official response • 25%
Diplomatic protest • 25%