Market
What will be the outcome of Panduleni Itula's challenge to the Namibian presidential election results by December 31, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Challenge succeeds • 25%
Challenge fails • 25%
Challenge partially succeeds • 25%
Challenge withdrawn • 25%
Namibian court rulings and official announcements
Story
Namibia's 72-Year-Old Vice President Nandi-Ndaitwah Wins Presidency with 57%, Becomes First Female Leader
Dec 3, 2024, 10:10 PM
Netumbo Nandi-Ndaitwah, 72, the current Vice President of Namibia and candidate of the ruling South West Africa People's Organisation (SWAPO), has been elected as the country's first female president, securing 57% of the vote in the recent election, according to results announced by the Electoral Commission. The election results, announced on December 3, show that Nandi-Ndaitwah's victory extends SWAPO's 34 years in power since leading Namibia to independence from South Africa in 1990, despite the party experiencing its worst-ever electoral showing. The main opposition candidate, Panduleni Itula, received 26% of the votes but has rejected the results and plans to challenge them in court, citing technical problems, ballot shortages, and extended voting periods that caused the election to be prolonged for three days. Nandi-Ndaitwah's election makes her Africa's second female president.
View original story
Similar markets
New election ordered • 33%
Partial recount ordered • 33%
Election results upheld • 33%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Election results upheld • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Vote recount ordered • 25%
Re-election ordered • 25%
Pending decision • 25%
Challenges dismissed • 25%
Challenges upheld • 25%
No challenges filed • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Amendment partially invalidated • 25%
Challenge upheld • 25%
Challenge dismissed • 25%
Hung Jury • 25%
Case Dismissed • 25%
Acquittal • 25%
Conviction • 25%
Reversal of results • 25%
Recount in one or more states • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
No significant changes • 25%
Sanctions partially lifted • 25%
Case dismissed without ruling • 25%
Sanctions upheld • 25%
Sanctions completely lifted • 25%
All challenges resolved • 25%
New challenges emerged • 25%
All challenges ongoing • 25%
Some challenges ongoing • 25%
Frelimo confirmed as winner • 25%
Opposition declared winner • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
New elections called • 25%
Sentence Reduced • 25%
Appeal Dismissed • 25%
No Appeal Filed • 25%
Sentence Overturned • 25%