Market
What will be the outcome of Musk's involvement in UK politics before the next election?
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Elon Musk•Donald Trump•Keir Starmer•UK•Financial Times•Musk•UK Labour government•Reform UK•Nigel Farage
Resolution / Starting Odds
Shift towards Reform UK • 25%
Shift towards a new political movement • 25%
No significant shift • 25%
Other significant political shift • 25%
Credible news sources reporting on political shifts attributed to Musk's actions
Story
Elon Musk Explores Ways to Remove UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer Before Next Election, Eyes Support for Reform UK
Jan 9, 2025, 05:44 AM
Elon Musk, the world's richest man and a key confidant of U.S. president-elect Donald Trump, has been privately discussing with allies how to remove Sir Keir Starmer as UK prime minister before the next general election, according to the Financial Times. Musk's interest extends beyond his critical posts on his social media platform X, as he explores ways to destabilize the UK Labour government. He has been examining the possibility of building support for alternative political movements, notably the right-wing populist Reform UK party, to force a change in leadership. Musk's recent activities also include distancing himself from Nigel Farage, the leader of Reform UK, suggesting a need for new leadership within the party.
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No significant change • 25%
Musk withdraws support • 25%
Reform UK gains seats • 25%
Another party gains seats • 25%
No involvement • 25%
Other involvement • 25%
Financial donation to a UK party • 25%
Public endorsement of a UK party • 25%
Reform UK loses influence • 25%
Reform UK gains significant influence • 25%
Reform UK gains moderate influence • 25%
No significant political change • 25%
No significant impact • 25%
Reform UK gains significant seats • 25%
Conservatives lose majority • 25%
Labour gains majority • 25%
Neutral reaction • 25%
Positive reaction • 25%
Increased political engagement • 25%
Negative reaction • 25%
Weakens Conservative Party • 25%
Strengthens Labour Party • 25%
Strengthens Reform UK • 25%
No significant impact • 25%
Conservative Party • 25%
Reform UK • 25%
No support declared • 25%
Another party • 25%
Positive influence • 25%
Mixed opinions • 25%
No influence • 25%
Negative influence • 25%
Other • 25%
Official condemnation • 25%
Policy change or action • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Public supporter only • 25%
Financial donor • 25%
No involvement • 25%
Other type of involvement • 25%