Market
What will be the outcome of Memphis rejecting DOJ oversight by end of 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Consent decree accepted • 25%
Federal oversight imposed • 25%
Continued resistance without changes • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Official announcements or reports from the DOJ, Memphis City Government, or reputable news sources
Story
Memphis Rejects DOJ Oversight After Police Reform Probe Finds Excessive Force Following Tyre Nichols Death
Dec 5, 2024, 12:05 AM
Memphis city officials have declined to enter into a consent decree with the U.S. Department of Justice regarding police reform. This decision comes as the Justice Department released findings from a federal investigation that concluded the Memphis Police Department violated the Constitution and federal law. The investigation, initiated following the fatal police beating of Tyre Nichols, determined that the department employs excessive force and discriminates against Black individuals. Memphis officials characterized the Justice Department's push for federal oversight as a 'rush to judgment,' indicating their intention to resist federal supervision of the police force.
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Not Implemented • 25%
Fully Implemented • 25%
Partially Implemented • 25%
Under Federal Oversight • 25%
Case dismissed • 25%
Settlement reached • 25%
Ongoing litigation • 25%
Court orders reforms • 25%
Majority Support Reforms • 25%
Indifferent • 25%
Mixed Opinions • 25%
Majority Oppose Reforms • 25%
Public opposition to DOJ findings • 25%
Protests occur • 25%
Public support for reforms • 25%
Minimal public response • 25%
Minor Misconduct Found • 25%
No Misconduct Found • 25%
Significant Misconduct Found • 25%
Severe Misconduct Found • 25%
Partial Changes • 25%
New Leadership with Federal Oversight • 25%
Complete Overhaul • 25%
No Changes • 25%
Extended Supervision • 25%
Fully Compliant • 25%
Partially Compliant • 25%
Non-Compliant • 25%
Multiple leadership changes • 25%
Police Chief replaced • 25%
No changes • 25%
Deputy Chief replaced • 25%