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What will be the outcome of María Corina Machado's strategy for democracy in Venezuela by 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Successful transition • 25%
Partial transition • 25%
No transition • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
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Story
María Corina Machado Announces Edmundo González Urrutia's Delayed Return to Venezuela Due to Safety Concerns
Jan 10, 2025, 08:00 PM
Venezuelan opposition leader María Corina Machado announced on January 10 that Edmundo González Urrutia will not enter Venezuela today due to safety concerns. Machado stated that González Urrutia will return to Venezuela to be sworn in as the constitutional president 'at the right time,' when conditions are suitable. She emphasized that González Urrutia's integrity is crucial for the final defeat of the regime and the transition to democracy. Machado also mentioned that she had been in constant communication with González Urrutia and had advised him against returning to Venezuela on this day due to the regime's activation of the entire air defense system.
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Continues as a key opposition leader • 25%
Arrested and imprisoned • 25%
Exiled from Venezuela • 25%
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Arrested • 25%
Returns to hiding • 25%
Continues public appearances • 25%
Leaves Venezuela • 25%
Still detained • 25%
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Opposition forms government-in-exile • 25%
Opposition calls for new elections • 25%
Edmundo González returns and is sworn in • 25%
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Neutral stance • 25%
Calls for her arrest • 25%
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Government crackdown • 25%
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Intensification of protests • 25%
Remains detained • 25%
Unknown or other outcome • 25%
Released without charges • 25%
Released with charges • 25%
Edmundo González becomes president • 25%
Nicolás Maduro remains president • 25%
Power-sharing agreement • 25%
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Released unharmed • 25%
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Power-sharing agreement • 25%
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New elections announced • 25%