Market
What will be the outcome of Marco Rubio's Senate confirmation vote by February 28, 2025?
4
Resolution / Starting Odds
Confirmed with majority • 25%
Confirmed with narrow margin • 25%
Rejected • 25%
Vote delayed • 25%
Official Senate voting records
Story
Trump Nominates Rubio as Secretary of State, First Latin American in Role
Dec 2, 2024, 12:04 AM
President-elect Donald Trump has nominated Senator Marco Rubio of Florida as his choice for U.S. Secretary of State. Rubio's selection has instilled some confidence in pro-democracy communities in China and the diaspora, marking him as the first Latin American to hold this position in U.S. history. However, critics have labeled Rubio as a neoconservative, raising concerns about his suitability for the role.
View original story
Similar markets
Not confirmed • 34%
Confirmed with bipartisan support • 33%
Confirmed with majority Republican support • 33%
Not confirmed • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Confirmed with bipartisan support • 25%
Confirmed with only Republican support • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Confirmed with all GOP votes • 25%
Confirmed with some GOP votes • 25%
Not confirmed • 25%
Confirmed with bipartisan support • 25%
Confirmed with Republican support only • 25%
Not confirmed • 25%
Confirmation delayed • 25%
Rejected • 25%
Confirmed • 25%
Delayed • 25%
Withdrawn • 25%
Confirmed • 33%
Rejected • 33%
Withdrawn • 34%
Confirmed with 50-70% support • 25%
Not confirmed • 25%
Confirmed with over 70% support • 25%
Confirmed with less than 50% support • 25%
Rejected • 33%
Withdrawn • 34%
Confirmed • 33%
Confirmed without major opposition • 25%
Hearing postponed • 25%
Not confirmed • 25%
Confirmed with significant opposition • 25%