Market
What will be the outcome of Luigi Mangione's extradition battle by June 30, 2025?
3
UnitedHealthcare•Brian Thompson•New York City•Luigi Mangione•Ivy League•Pennsylvania•New York•Thomas Dickey•Mangione•Elizabeth Warren•NYPD•Wanted
Resolution / Starting Odds
Extradited to New York • 25%
Extradition denied • 25%
Extradition pending • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Court rulings or official announcements
Story
UnitedHealthcare CEO Murdered; Suspect Luigi Mangione Arrested Amid Surging Online Support and Extradition Battle
Dec 12, 2024, 05:37 PM
UnitedHealthcare CEO Brian Thompson was shot and killed in New York City on December 4, 2024. Luigi Mangione, a 26-year-old Ivy League graduate suffering from spondylolisthesis, has been arrested and charged with his murder. He was apprehended at a McDonald's in Pennsylvania and is fighting extradition to New York, with his lawyer, Thomas Dickey, stating he will plead not guilty. Prosecutors at the Manhattan District Attorney's Office have begun presenting evidence to a grand jury to indict Mangione, including that the gun found on him matches shell casings at the crime scene. Mangione's family expressed shock and devastation over his arrest. The incident has prompted widespread discussions about frustrations with the U.S. health care system, and there has been a surge of online support for Mangione, with fundraisers surpassing $50,000 for his legal defense. Reports indicate that Mangione may have left an online manifesto expressing grievances against the health care industry. Prominent politicians such as Senator Elizabeth Warren and Representative Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez have commented on the event, with some remarks generating controversy for appearing to rationalize the violence. Health care companies are tightening security measures amid increased threats against executives, as the killing has led to a rise in online vitriol and concerns about potential copycat incidents. The NYPD is also investigating the appearance of CEO 'Wanted' posters in New York City.
View original story
Similar markets
Not Extradited • 33%
Extradited • 33%
Pending • 34%
Extradition Denied • 25%
Extradition Approved • 25%
Other • 25%
Extradition Delayed • 25%
Extradited • 25%
Other • 25%
Not extradited • 25%
Hearing delayed • 25%
Extradition Approved • 25%
Extradition Denied • 25%
Extradition to New York approved • 25%
Extradition to New York denied • 25%
Extradition decision postponed • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Other • 25%
Extradition Delayed • 25%
Extradition waived • 25%
Extradition denied • 25%
Extradition contested • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Extradition pending • 34%
Extradited to New York • 33%
Not extradited • 33%
Extradition granted • 50%
Extradition denied • 50%
Extradited • 33%
Not extradited • 33%
Hearing postponed • 34%
Extradition granted • 25%
Extradition denied • 25%
Extradition delayed • 25%
No decision by this date • 25%
Extradited to New York • 33%
Extradition denied • 33%
Extradition delayed • 34%
Acquitted • 25%
Mistrial • 25%
Other Verdict • 25%
Life Imprisonment • 25%
Death Penalty • 25%
Not guilty of murder • 25%
Mistrial or hung jury • 25%
Not guilty • 25%
Guilty of a lesser charge • 25%
Guilty of murder • 25%
Mistrial declared • 25%
Other verdict • 25%
Plea Deal • 25%
Guilty of second-degree murder • 25%
Other • 25%
Not Guilty • 25%
Guilty of lesser charge • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Conviction • 25%
Convicted of a lesser charge • 25%
Guilty • 25%
Acquittal • 25%
Convicted of murder • 25%
Case dismissed • 25%
