Market
What will be the outcome of legal challenges to Sarah McBride's proposed legislation in 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Upheld • 25%
Partially Upheld • 25%
Overturned • 25%
No Challenge • 25%
Court rulings or official legislative records
Story
Sarah McBride, Democrat from Delaware, Sworn In as First Openly Transgender Member of Congress Amid House Republicans' Opposition
Jan 3, 2025, 01:31 PM
Sarah McBride, a Democrat from Delaware, has been sworn in as the first openly transgender member of the U.S. Congress. Her election marks a historic moment amidst ongoing debates over transgender rights. Republicans have already shown opposition to her presence, with some attempting to discriminate against her through proposed legislation. McBride has expressed her commitment to serving as an effective member of Congress, emphasizing a politics of progress and grace rather than pettiness and grandstanding. She aims to ensure that she is not the last transgender person to serve in Congress by focusing on being the best representative she can be for Delaware and the nation.
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Education • 25%
Healthcare • 25%
Other • 25%
LGBTQ+ Rights • 25%
Fail • 33%
Pass • 33%
Postponed • 34%
Challenge upheld • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Amendment partially invalidated • 25%
Challenge dismissed • 25%
No major legal challenges • 33%
Multiple major legal challenges • 34%
One major legal challenge • 33%
Below 40% • 25%
40-49% • 25%
50-60% • 25%
Above 60% • 25%
ERA not recognized as ratified • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Further action required by Congress • 25%
ERA recognized as ratified • 25%
