Market
What will be the outcome of Kash Patel's reform efforts in the FBI by end of 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Significant reforms implemented • 25%
Minor reforms implemented • 25%
No reforms implemented • 25%
Reforms reversed or rolled back • 25%
Assessment from credible news sources or official reports on FBI reforms
Story
FBI Spied on Incoming Director Kash Patel Starting Late-2017, Watchdog Report Reveals Commitment to Reform
Dec 13, 2024, 10:27 PM
A recent government watchdog report has revealed that the FBI conducted surveillance on Kash Patel, who is poised to become the agency's new director. The report indicates that the FBI monitored Patel's phone records and emails starting in late 2017, during his involvement in investigating the agency's handling of the Russiagate inquiry. Patel, a close ally of former President Donald Trump, has publicly committed to reforming the FBI and holding accountable those he believes abused their power during the Russiagate investigation. The implications of this surveillance have raised concerns about the agency's practices and its future under Patel's leadership.
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No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Leadership changes • 25%
Internal restructuring • 25%
Policy changes • 25%
Other • 25%
Less Politically Motivated • 25%
Other • 25%
More Politically Motivated • 25%
No Significant Change • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
Appointed • 25%
Nomination Withdrawn • 25%
Not Appointed • 25%
Worsened • 25%
Improved significantly • 25%
Improved slightly • 25%
No change • 25%
Mixed • 25%
Worsened • 25%
Improved • 25%
Unchanged • 25%
Confirmed by Senate • 25%
No nomination made • 25%
Nomination withdrawn • 25%
Rejected by Senate • 25%
Nomination pending • 25%
Withdrawn • 25%
Confirmed • 25%
Rejected by Senate • 25%
Withdrawn • 25%
Confirmed • 25%
Rejected • 25%
Pending • 25%
Structural reforms • 25%
Policy reforms • 25%
Other reforms • 25%
No major reforms • 25%