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What will be the outcome of Austin Tice's situation by the end of 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Confirmed alive and returned • 25%
Confirmed alive but not returned • 25%
Confirmed deceased • 25%
No confirmation • 25%
Official statements from the U.S. government or credible news reports
Story
Biden Believes U.S. Marine Corps Veteran Austin Tice Is Alive, Calls for Assad's Accountability
Dec 8, 2024, 06:54 PM
President Joe Biden has expressed the U.S. government's belief that Austin Tice, an American journalist kidnapped in Syria in August 2012, remains alive. Speaking on the matter, Biden stated that while there is no direct evidence yet, efforts are ongoing to identify Tice's location to facilitate his return. Tice, a former U.S. Marine Corps veteran, was abducted while covering the Syrian civil war. Biden emphasized the commitment to bringing Tice back to his family and indicated that Syrian President Bashar al-Assad should be held accountable for Tice's situation.
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Other outcome • 25%
Remains in Syria • 25%
Transferred to a third country • 25%
Returned to the U.S. • 25%
No new information • 25%
Found and returned • 25%
Found, not returned • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
No progress reported • 25%
Released • 25%
Other • 25%
Location confirmed, not released • 25%
No change in status • 25%
Confirmed deceased • 25%
Released • 25%
Confirmed alive but not released • 25%
Tice found alive • 25%
Tice confirmed deceased • 25%
No resolution • 25%
Other • 25%
Confirmed deceased • 25%
Status remains unknown • 25%
Confirmed alive but not released • 25%
Confirmed alive and released • 25%
No significant outcome • 25%
Austin Tice is released • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Austin Tice is confirmed deceased • 25%
Austin Tice is released • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Negotiations break down • 25%
No significant progress • 25%
