Market
What will be the outcome of any appeal or legal action by Trump regarding the Carroll verdict by December 31, 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Verdict upheld again • 25%
Verdict overturned • 25%
Settlement reached • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Court records and major news outlets reporting on the case
Story
Appeals Court Upholds $5 Million Sexual Abuse Verdict Against President-elect Trump; New Trial Denied
Dec 30, 2024, 03:11 PM
A federal appeals court has upheld a $5 million verdict against President-elect Donald Trump in favor of E. Jean Carroll, confirming the jury's finding that Trump sexually abused and defamed the former magazine columnist. The Second Circuit Court of Appeals denied Trump's request for a new trial, affirming the initial judgment that he is liable for sexually assaulting Carroll in a Bergdorf Goodman dressing room in the 1990s and later defaming her. Following the court's decision, Trump reposted on his Truth Social platform suggesting legal action against Carroll, asking, 'Should a woman go to jail for falsely accusing a man of rape? Retruth if you want justice for Trump.' The decision deals a blow to Trump's efforts to resolve legal issues before taking office.
View original story
Similar markets
Case dismissed • 25%
Judgment upheld • 25%
Judgment reduced • 25%
Judgment overturned • 25%
Judgment overturned • 25%
Judgment reduced • 25%
Case settled out of court • 25%
Judgment upheld • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Appeal unsuccessful • 25%
Appeal partially successful • 25%
Appeal successful • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Conviction overturned • 25%
Conviction reduced • 25%
Conviction upheld • 25%
Appeal not resolved by end of 2025 • 25%
Partial overturn • 25%
Convictions overturned • 25%
Convictions upheld • 25%
Appeal withdrawn • 25%
Appeal granted, sentencing delayed • 25%
Appeal denied, sentencing proceeds • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Appeal granted, conviction overturned • 25%
Conviction upheld • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Conviction dismissed • 25%
Partial dismissal • 25%