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What will be the outcome of AI-equipped Shahed drone operations against Ukraine by June 30, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Successful targeting of power plants • 25%
Neutralized by Ukrainian defenses • 25%
Limited effectiveness due to countermeasures • 25%
No significant impact • 25%
Reports from international defense analysts and news agencies
Story
Russia Equips Shahed Drones with AI to Identify Power Plants in Strong Electronic Warfare
Dec 27, 2024, 03:09 PM
Russia has enhanced its Shahed drones with artificial intelligence, enabling them to autonomously recognize targets, including objects resembling power plants, even in the absence of a network connection. This development, reported by Politico and referenced by Ukraine's Ambassador to the EU, suggests that the drones are now capable of operating effectively under conditions of strong electronic warfare. The introduction of AI into these kamikaze drones could complicate Ukraine's air defense efforts, as the drones can identify and engage targets without relying on external communications.
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Successful with casualties • 25%
Successful without casualties • 25%
Intercepted by Russian forces • 25%
No significant engagement • 25%
Other • 25%
Sabotage • 25%
Cyber Warfare • 25%
Direct Strikes • 25%
Another helicopter downed • 25%
Other military target engaged • 25%
No significant engagement • 25%
Naval vessel damaged • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
HTS maintains current position • 25%
HTS gains significant ground • 25%
Other • 25%
HTS loses ground • 25%
Highly effective • 25%
Moderately effective • 25%
Minimally effective • 25%
Not effective • 25%
Unsuccessful • 25%
Highly successful • 25%
Moderately successful • 25%
Limited success • 25%
Other • 25%
FPV drones • 25%
Reconnaissance drones • 25%
Combat drones • 25%