Market
What will be the next major action by UK government on Prince Andrew's foreign associations by end of 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Investigation launched • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Policy review initiated • 25%
Public advisory issued • 25%
Official UK government announcements or verified media reports
Story
Chinese Businessman H6 Linked to Duke of York Banned from UK Since July 2023 on National Security Grounds
Dec 13, 2024, 12:15 PM
A Chinese businessman, referred to as H6, who was described as a 'close confidant' of Prince Andrew, has lost an appeal to enter the UK due to national security concerns. The tribunal's decision, upheld by a British court, cited H6's alleged ties to the Chinese Communist Party and the United Front Work Department as reasons for the ban. H6 was reportedly authorized by Prince Andrew to seek investors in China and was even invited to the Duke's birthday party, raising questions about the royal's judgment and the extent of foreign influence in his inner circle. The case has sparked renewed scrutiny of Prince Andrew, with officials expressing concern over his connections to individuals deemed security risks. Following the court ruling, Prince Andrew's office stated that he has ceased all contact with H6 after receiving advice from the government regarding these concerns.
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Yes • 50%
No • 50%
No wrongdoing found • 25%
Minor compliance issues • 25%
Investigation ongoing • 25%
Serious violations found • 25%
No espionage confirmed • 25%
Investigation halted • 25%
Investigation inconclusive • 25%
Espionage confirmed • 25%
Cleared of all allegations • 25%
No formal investigation • 25%
Ongoing investigation • 25%
Found guilty of wrongdoing • 25%
Evidence of wrongdoing found • 25%
Serious legal implications • 25%
Minor infractions identified • 25%
No wrongdoing found • 25%
No evidence found • 25%
Investigation inconclusive • 25%
Investigation ongoing • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Public reprimand • 25%
Removal from royal duties • 25%
Loss of title • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Stripped of titles • 25%
Voluntary resignation from roles • 25%
No change • 25%
Other changes • 25%
Minor breach identified • 25%
No wrongdoing found • 25%
Major breach identified • 25%
Investigation inconclusive • 25%
Other actions • 25%
No response • 25%
Economic measures • 25%
Diplomatic protest • 25%