Market
What will be the next leadership change in Georgia by December 31, 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Prime Minister resigns • 25%
Parliament dissolved • 25%
No leadership change • 25%
Other significant change • 25%
Official announcements from the Georgian government or credible news sources
Story
US Imposes Visa Restrictions on 20 Georgian Officials Over October Election
Dec 13, 2024, 01:22 AM
The United States has imposed visa restrictions on approximately 20 Georgian officials, including government ministers, parliament members, and security officials, for their alleged role in undermining democracy in Georgia. This action follows mass protests against the claimed victory by the Georgian Dream party, accused of having Russian affiliations, in the October election. The State Department announced these measures as part of efforts to support democracy and fundamental freedoms in Georgia.
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Status Quo Maintained • 25%
Other • 25%
Government Reshuffle • 25%
New Elections Called • 25%
Mikheil Kavelashvili • 25%
A new candidate • 25%
Other • 25%
Salome Zourabichvili • 25%
Mikheil Kavelashvili • 25%
Other • 25%
Salome Zourabichvili • 25%
Newly elected president • 25%
International intervention • 25%
Government concessions • 25%
Protests escalate • 25%
Protests dissipate • 25%
New elections held • 25%
Zourabichvili remains in power • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Kavelashvili consolidates power • 25%
Kavelashvili remains president • 25%
Zourabichvili returns to power • 25%
New elections held • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Current Prime Minister • 25%
Other • 25%
Salomé Zourabichvili • 25%
Mikheil Kavelashvili • 25%
Zourabichvili reinstated • 25%
Ongoing dispute • 25%
New leader emerges • 25%
Kavelashvili's presidency recognized • 25%
New political coalition • 25%
Georgian Dream • 25%
United National Movement • 25%
Other • 25%