Market
What will be the market share distribution in San Francisco by end of 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Uber > 50%, Lyft < 20%, Waymo > 30% • 25%
Uber > 40%, Lyft > 20%, Waymo > 30% • 25%
Uber < 40%, Lyft > 20%, Waymo > 40% • 25%
Other • 25%
Market share reports from credible sources like transportation analytics firms or industry reports
Story
Waymo Captures 22% Market Share in San Francisco by November 2024, Challenging Lyft and Uber at 55%
Dec 12, 2024, 08:52 PM
Waymo's presence in San Francisco's ride-hailing market has significantly increased since its launch in August 2023, capturing a 22% market share by November 2024, equaling that of Lyft, while Uber holds 55%. Users have reported a superior experience with Waymo, highlighting its safety, lower pricing, and privacy compared to traditional ride-sharing services like Uber and Lyft. Anecdotal evidence suggests that many users now prefer Waymo over other options, with some indicating that the user experience is reminiscent of the early days of Uber compared to traditional taxis. Analysts speculate that the rapid growth of Waymo could pose a serious threat to Lyft's viability, with some suggesting potential acquisition scenarios involving Uber and Google. Overall, the trend indicates a shift towards driverless ride-hailing services, with expectations for faster adoption in the coming years.
View original story
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