Market
What will be the legal outcome for the drone operator if identified by December 31, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Prison sentence • 25%
Civil penalty • 25%
Both prison and penalty • 25%
No legal action • 25%
Court records or legal documentation
Story
FAA to Investigate Drone Collision with Super Scooper Over Palisades Fire in Los Angeles on January 9, 2025
Jan 10, 2025, 01:37 AM
A firefighting aircraft, identified as a Super Scooper, collided with a drone while operating over the Palisades Fire in Los Angeles on Thursday, January 9, 2025, according to the Federal Aviation Administration (FAA). The aircraft landed safely despite the collision. The FAA has stated that it will investigate the incident. The agency emphasized that flying drones in restricted airspace, particularly during firefighting operations, is a federal crime punishable by up to 12 months in prison, and it can impose a civil penalty of up to $75,000 against drone pilots who interfere with such operations. The Palisades Fire, which has consumed 19,978 acres and remains at zero percent containment, has destroyed or burned over 9,000 structures.
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Similar markets
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Unknown/Other • 25%
Foreign government • 25%
U.S. government • 25%
Private company • 25%
Other explanation • 25%
Identified foreign operator • 25%
Identified domestic operator • 25%
Operator remains unidentified • 25%
Private company • 25%
Government agency • 25%
Individual or group • 25%
Unidentified • 25%
Foreign government • 25%
Private company • 25%
Individual or group of hobbyists • 25%
Unidentified • 25%
Identified as foreign surveillance • 25%
Identified as hobbyist activity • 25%
Identified as domestic activity • 25%
Cause remains unidentified • 25%
Case dismissed • 25%
Convicted • 25%
Plea deal • 25%
Acquitted • 25%